Question 1.
A die is thrown 6 times. If ‘getting an odd number’ is a success, find the probability of
(i) 5 successes
(ii) at least 5 successes
(iii) at most 5 successes.
Solution:
Let X = number of successes, i.e. number of odd numbers.
p = probability of getting an odd number in a single throw of a die
The p.m.f. of X is given by
Hence, the probability of 5 successes is 3/32.
(ii) P(at least 5 successes) = P[X ≥ 5]
= p(5) + p(6)
Hence, the probability of at least 5 successes is 7/64.
(iii) P(at most 5 successes) = P[X ≤ 5]
= 1 – P[X > 5]
Hence, the probability of at most 5 successes is 63/64.
Question 2.
A pair of dice is thrown 4 times. If getting a doublet is considered a success, find the probability of two successes.
Solution:
Let X = number of doublets.
p = probability of getting a doublet when a pair of dice is thrown
The p.m.f. of X is given by
Hence, the probability of two successes is 25/216.
Question 3.
There are 5% defective items in a large bulk of items. What is the probability that a sample of 10 items will include not more than one defective item?
Solution:
Let X = number of defective items.
p = probability of defective item
The p.m.f. of X is given by
P(sample of 10 items will include not more than one defective item) = P[X ≤ 1]
Hence, the probability that a sample of 10 items will include not more than one
Question 4.
Five cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards, find the probability that
(i) all the five cards are spades
(ii) only 3 cards are spades
(iii) none is a spade.
Solution:
Let X = number of spade cards.
p = probability of drawing a spade card from a pack of 52 cards.
Since there are 13 spade cards in the pack of 52 cards.
The p.m.f. of X is given by
(i) P(all five cards are spade)
Hence, the probability of all the five cards are spades =1-1024
(ii) P(only 3 cards are spade) = P[X = 3]
Hence, the probability of only 3 cards are spades = 45/512
(iii) P(none of cards is spade) = P[X = 0]
Hence, the probability of none of the cards is a spade = 243/1024
Question 5.
The probability of a bulb produced by a factory will fuse after 150 days of use is 0.05. Find the probability that out of 5 such bulbs
(i) none
(ii) not more than one
(iii) more than one
(iv) at least one, will fuse after 150 days of use.
Solution:
Let X = number of fuse bulbs.
p = probability of a bulb produced by a factory will fuse after 150 days of use.
∴ p = 0.05
and q = 1 – p = 1 – 0.05 = 0.95
Given: n = 5
∴ X ~ B(5, 0.05)
The p.m.f. of X is given by
(i) P(none of a bulb produced by a factory will fuse after 150 days of use) = P[X = 0]
= p(0)
Hence, the probability that none of the bulbs will fuse after 150 days = (0.95)5.
(ii) P(not more than one bulb will fuse after 150 days of j use) = P[X ≤ 1]
= p(0) + p(1)
(iii) P(more than one bulb fuse after 150 days)
= P[X > 1]
= 1 – P[X ≤ 1]
= 1 – (1.2)(0.95
Hence, the probability that more than one bulb fuse after 150 days = 1 – (1.2)(0.95.
(iv) P(at least one bulb fuse after 150 days)
= P[X ≥ 1]
= 1 – P[X = 0]
= 1 – p(0)
Question 6.
A bag consists of 10 balls each marked with one of the digits 0 to 9. If four balls are drawn successively with replacement from the bag, what is the probability that none is marked with the digit 0?
Solution:
Let X = number of balls marked with digit 0.
p = probability of drawing a ball from 10 balls marked with the digit 0.
The p.m.f. of X is given by
P(none of the ball marked with digit 0) = P(X = 0)
Hence, the probability that none of the bulb marked with digit 0 is
Question 7.
On a multiple-choice examination with three possible answers for each of the five questions. What is the probability that a candidate would get four or more correct answers just by guessing?
Solution:
Let X = number of correct answers.
p = probability that a candidate gets a correct answer from three possible answers.
The p.m.f. of X is given by
P(four or more correct answers) = P[X ≥ 4]
= p(4) + p(5)
Hence, the probability of getting four or more correct answers = 11/243.
Question 8.
A person buys a lottery ticket in 50 lotteries, in each of which his chance of winning a prize is 1/100, find the probability that he will win a prize
(i) at least once
(ii) exactly once
(iii) at least twice.
Solution:
Let X = number of winning prizes.
p = probability of winning a prize
(i) P(a person wins a prize at least once)
Hence, probability of winning a prize at least once = 1 –
(ii) P(a person wins exactly one prize) = P[X = 1] = p(1)
(iii) P(a persons wins the prize at least twice) = P[X ≥ 2]
= 1 – P[X < 2]
= 1 – [p(0) + p(1)]
Question 9.
In a box of floppy discs, it is known that 95% will work. A sample of three of the discs is selected at random. Find the probability that (i) none (ii) 1 (iii) 2 (iv) all 3 of the sample will work.
Solution:
Let X = number of working discs.
p = probability that a floppy disc works
The p.m.f. of X is given by
(i) P(none of the floppy discs work) = P(X = 0)
(ii) P(exactly one floppy disc works) = P(X = 1)
(iii) P(exactly two floppy discs work) = P(X = 2)
(iv) P(all 3 floppy discs work) = P(X = 3)
Hence, the probability that all 3 floppy discs work = .
Question 10.
Find the probability of throwing at most 2 sixes in 6 throws of a single die.
Solution:
Let X = number of sixes.
p = probability that a die shows six in a single throw
The p.m.f. of X is given by
Question 11.
It is known that 10% of certain articles manufactured are defective. What is the probability that in a random sample of 12 such articles, 9 are defective?
Solution:
Let X = number of defective articles.
p = probability of defective articles.
The p.m.f. of X is given by
Question 12.
Given X ~ B(n, P)
(i) If n = 10 and p = 0.4, find E(x) and Var(X).
(ii) If p = 0.6 and E(X) = 6, find n and Var(X).
(iii) If n = 25, E(X) = 10, find p and SD(X).
(iv) If n = 10, E(X) = 8, find Var(X).
Solution:
(i) Given: n = 10 and p = 0.4
∴ q = 1 – p = 1 – 0.4 = 0.6
∴ E(X) = np = 10(0.4) = 4
Var(X) = npq = 10(0.4)(0.6) = 2.4
Hence, E(X) = 4, Var(X) = 2.4.
(ii) Given: p = 0.6, E (X) = 6
E(X) = np
6 = n(0.6)
n = 6/0.6 = 10
Now, q = 1 – p = 1 – 0.6 = 0.4
∴ Var(X) = npq = 10(0.6)(0.4) = 2.4
Hence, n = 10 and Var(X) = 2.4.
(iii) Given: n = 25, E(X) = 10
E(X) = np
10 = 25p
∴ SD(X) = √Var(X) = √6
Hence, p = 25 and S.D.(X) = √6.
(iv) Given: n = 10, E(X) = 8
E(X) = np
8 = 10p